By Brad Haire
University of Georgia
If you like to eat beef, you may have noticed it’s costing more
this summer. Consumers in other countries like fine U.S. beef,
too. And they’re using their money to fight for it.
With the smell of outdoor cooking filling the air, summertime
is “The Grilling Season.” The U.S. beef industry sees Memorial
Day through Labor Day as the high-water mark for their demand
each year, says Curt Lacy, a livestock economist with the
University of Georgia College of Agricultural and Environmental
Sciences.
Summer demand
It’s not unusual for the high demand of summer to raise retail
prices for shoppers. But this year, prices are noticeably higher
than normal, Lacy said.
The average retail price for grade A beef cuts, like steaks and
roasts, is $3.61 per pound, about 30 cents higher than this time
last year, he said. (Beef prices are about 80 cents higher than
they were in the summer of 1994.)
The main reason for higher prices is simple: Consumers in other
countries like to cook out, too. And U.S. beef is popular around
the world.
“U.S. consumers are having to compete against consumers in other
countries for that U.S. beef,” Lacy said.
Canada’s beef is also popular around the world. It normally
exports as much as 60 percent of its cattle supply each year.
But not this year.
Beef scare
In May, Canada’s beef industry was slammed when mad cow disease,
a devastating cattle disease, was discovered in a single cow in
Alberta. Since then, Canadian beef has been banned or hit with
high tariffs in other countries.
But world consumers still want their beef. And the U.S. industry
has stepped in to help supply that demand. Domestic prices have
risen because of it.
The good news for U.S. shoppers is that beef prices have
probably peaked for now, Lacy said. Prices will begin to
moderate in the second half of summer.
The United States’ main global customers are Japan and Mexico.
The U.S. industry supplies Japan 811 million pounds, or 45
percent of its annual beef consumption, and the bulk of Mexico’s
consumption, 394 million pounds, each year.
Lacy predicts U.S. cattlemen will export even more to these
countries this year because Canada was also a supplier of their
beef.
Low weight
Domestic U.S. beef prices would be higher this year even without
the Canadian beef problem, Lacy said, because U.S. production is
down.
U.S. cattlemen are selling more cattle, but the weight of the
individual animals is lower. The average weight of a steer sold
this time last year was 1,252 pounds. It’s 1,221 this year.
“When producers get these higher prices, they’ll try and move
the cattle as quick as they can,” he said, even the lower-weight
cattle.
Right now, U.S. cattle producers are getting about 75 cents per
pound for finished animals. That’s about 12 cents more than at
this time last year.
Even with higher prices, Lacy said, Georgia cattlemen should
still keep a sharp eye on how and when they sell and look at new
marketing opportunities.